2010年1月23日星期六

Some are worried about high unemployment

The fear of a speculative bubble in China's enthusiasm for investing in this country, tempered confidence in U.S. markets has increased, according to a survey by Bloomberg News.

In just three months, the feeling against the U.S. investment climate will be refunded. Nearly six in 10 respondents interviewed Tuesday said they are optimistic about the United States, while most were pessimistic about a poll in October. A child nine months to rally the United States
Equities, Standard & Poors 500 is 61 percent driven by a close Friday.

The strongest feeling against test early last week, with a net sale-off. The survey was conducted on the eve of the U.S. --
Stocks began the largest of the three machines updated since March. This decrease is partly due to the phone with President Obama Thursday on the size and limited trading activities of financial institutions. A further reduction came Friday, after several key Senate Democrats withdrew their support for a second term as chairman of Fed, Ben S. Bernanke.

Economic experts from the United States in research administration saw Obama has proposed measures to negative consequences. About 77 percent said Obama is very anti-business, and the majority said that taxes on insurance premiums were too high. But they are optimistic about the future than it was six months ago.

Some are worried about high unemployment and chronic budget deficits, too, but the sense that the broader economy is getting better, said Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co, Iowa, according to a survey the company conducted research. And: There is a sharp contrast to the warm environment, there are only three months, he said.

The number of U.S. investors, who marched to improve the U.S. economy is growing steadily through two quarterly surveys to see more than doubled since July.

The quarterly survey by Bloomberg Global investors were traders and analysts on six continents to interviews with a sample of 873 subscribers to Bloomberg News, based on manufacturers to markets, finance and the economy. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.


China is the world's fastest growing economy as a bubble with 62 percent of respondents felt. About a third said China offered the best opportunities for investment in coming years is almost for first place with the United States and Brazil, although largely in October, where 44 percent of China had classified the better.

This time, nearly three out of 10 investors, said China was the largest loss, ranking it the second most risky market, after the European Union.




Increased after the granting of new bank loans in China last year reached record levels, said Liu Mingkang bank, said lending limits for banks and reduce the overall credit growth.
China's Shanghai Composite Index fell 95.02 points, or 2.9 percent on fears that the central bank rates of interest nation address May. The index lost 3.8 percent this year, making China the worst performance among the 10 largest stock markets.

China reported that gross domestic product grew 10.7 percent in the fourth quarter, the biggest increase by one quarter since 2007.


The vast majority of non-payment of debt service on the horizon this year, according to research. Greece is considered the most dangerous by the government of Argentina, Russia, Ireland, Portugal, Italy, Spain and Mexico.

Overall, however, the professional market research is becoming more assertive on the world economy, now with 43 percent of ads most international economic outlook improved, compared with 37 percent in October. Optimism decreases in all regions, with respondents in Asia, Europe and the United States the same treatment as the general situation will improve.

The prospect of a strengthening global economy is a market analysis of the survey. Inventories monitored as an asset class most promising next year, from raw materials. Bonds unlikely to have been the worst performers during the same period. During the next six months include oil, copper, corn and soybean prices to expect.

Participants in the survey said they expect the monetary authorities still appear in the near future. Almost two thirds of investors believe that central banks have in their country, their interest rates steadily over the next six months and more than half of all short-term interest rates should not vary. Six of the 10 to predict long-term growth rates.


Increased confidence is stronger when the world's largest economy. Investors are invited to one or two markets, the best chance this year, the United States estimated in a statistical tie, with some emerging markets: Thirty percent chose to offer the United States, just behind China, 33 percent and Brazil, 32 percent. Three months ago, the United States was a fourth place, chosen by 18 percent.

Respondents expect U.S. stocks continue to rise for the foreseeable future, with 42 percent foresee an increase of the S & P 500 over the next six months, compared with 31 percent that it was expecting a decrease. A quarter of respondents expect index varies only slightly.

The American consumer, to restore confidence, and that alone should not be obstacles for the daily management of the return to growth over the past ten years, said poll respondent Drew Beatty, Analyst Sales of goods derived Wells Fargo Dallas.


While the increase is likely the economy is relatively modest in 2010, we believe it should be accompanied by a double-digit growth in corporate profits since 2011, said John Ryding respondents chief economist of RDQ Economics in New York.



Respondents were also on whether it is more important to stimulate growth in jobs, or to reduce the deficit, divided by 48 percent selecting each option.

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